By Tony Davis
As contrarian investors, we’re always looking for depressed
prices in various segments of the market, and one of the glaring examples of an
undervalued coin at the moment is the Peace silver dollar. At the time of this
writing, the melt value of Peace silver dollars is approximately $15.30. Lower end examples of Peace silver dollars
can be had for as little as $20, which is at a very reasonable premium level
and one which we haven’t seen in quite some time. In general, the premium for
Peace silver dollars tends to contract as silver prices increase, which makes
the current low premiums especially surprising, since silver is currently less
than $21 an ounce. In today’s article, we’ll delve further into Peace dollars,
compare current values to their big sister, Morgan silver dollars, and look at
relative values of other popular
bullion and semi-numismatic silver coins.
Peace Dollars vs. Morgan Silver Dollars
Historically, the price of Peace and Morgan silver dollars
has been relatively close, with Morgan silver dollars selling at slightly
higher values; especially those minted in 1904 and earlier. The couple of
dollar difference has been negligible; with most investors opting for Morgan silver
dollars due to their popularly and notoriety. However, we’re currently seeing fairly
significant disparities in price at the moment between the two coins; most
significantly at the higher end of the scale. According to www.coininfo.com,
which provides coin dealer wholesale pricing information, the spread between
almost uncirculated (AU) and choice uncirculated (CU) Morgan and Peace silver
dollars is $8.25 and $12, respectively. In fact, the premiums on uncirculated
Peace silver dollars have dropped so substantially in recent weeks that we’ve
been having a difficult time keeping up with market fluctuations. On the other
hand, pricing for Morgan silver dollars has remained relatively stable.
What Condition Peace Dollars?
At the lower end of the scale, almost good (AG) to good (G)
Peace silver dollars are trading at around $20 a piece, while higher end Peace
dollars are going for between $25 – $26.75. Granted, Peace silver dollars are
easier to find in higher end condition than Morgan silver dollars, but when you
look at the negligible price difference between lower end and higher end
condition Peace dollars, we highly recommend spending a few extra dollars for a
premium coin. It’s been quite a while since you’ve been able to acquire an
uncirculated Peace dollar for $11 over the melt value of the coin. In fact,
this is the type of premium that you would have paid for a circulated condition
Peace dollar during the earlier part of 2013.
Other Semi-Numismatic Silver Coin Options
There are very few semi-numismatic silver coin options that
can be had at relatively low premiums. The most comparable coin would be
pre-2000 American silver eagles, which tend to sell at similar premiums to
Peace silver dollars; however, in our opinion, there is no comparison as to which
coin you should purchase. For one, Peace silver dollars have historical value
and significance, while American silver eagles are considered bullion coins.
Secondly, the mintage of most
Peace silver dollars was relatively low, with several dates having
production runs of less than 1,000,000 coins. Not to mention, a large number of
Peace silver dollars have been melted throughout the years, so the survivorship
levels of these coins are likely substantially less. On the other hand, the lowest minted
American silver eagle was in 1996 with a production run of 3.6
million coins. While we believe that the future is bright for American silver
eagles, there appears to be more upside potential with Peace silver dollars.
Conclusion
In summary, we believe that Peace silver dollars are
undervalued semi-numismatic coins that should seriously be considered as part
of your silver bullion or numismatic coin portfolio. The premiums on these
coins are extremely attractive; especially for high end examples, which
historically have sold at substantially higher rates. While other
semi-numismatic silver coins can be purchased at similar premiums, in our
opinion, none likely have the same upside potential (especially when you
consider the survivor rates) as Peace silver dollars.